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A Few Clouds ~ High: 85°F ~ Low: 58°F Wednesday, May 16, 2012 |
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GamblingPosted Friday, August 15, 2008, at 7:14 PM
This is a piece published by the TG in late 2002 as a two column series. Thought it might be of interest in light of recent events in our fair city. It was written at a time when the lottery was still illegal.
The negative light cast on the lottery and gambling by the popular press is almost universal and is never balanced by the venerable journalistic mandate to present both sides. A perfect example is the report of the National Gambling Impact Study Commission (NGISC). This report found objective data that debunks many of the myths about gambling but this data has not been widely reported.
The NGISC was formed in 1997 by the Congress and President Clinton with a charter to study and report the phenomenon exactly as directed by the title. The final report was released recently in July of 1999 and reported with a brevity that belies the actual findings of the data. This is the first nationwide study on gambling since 1976. The 1976 report predicted the expansion of gambling and since it was not politically correct to support gambling, the report was ignored and no recommendation was implemented nationally though several states took seriously many of the findings. The Commission, including the chairperson, was peopled by a disproportionate number of anti-gambling supporters. This fact is unchallenged and is a matter of record and puts to rest any suggestion that the study was steered by gambling industry mavens.
NIGSC commissioned the National Opinion Research Center (NORC) at the University of Chicago to conduct a nine-month study into such areas as gambling participation, pathological gambling, youth gambling, community impact of casinos and the social costs of gambling. This research is an objective, unbiased academic endeavor. The findings were submitted to NIGSC and made public in April of 1999.
Several findings of the research are worthy of note: 86% of the population has gambled at least once in their life; 63% of the population has gambled at least once in the past year; number of problem gamblers in non-lottery states is 25% higher than in states with a lottery; the household income of pathological gamblers verses other gamblers is statistically insignificant; 64%of non-gamblers are employed while 82.3% of pathological gamblers are employed; average hourly wages for non-gamblers is $14.60 and $17.90 for pathological gamblers; in the 18-24 year old age group from 1976-1998, those who gambled at least once in their life rose 5% while those who had gambled in the last year decreased by 9%; college graduates are more at risk to become pathological gamblers than any other education level. These finding show clearly the typical
problem gambler is not the uneducated and the needy and disarms the argument of most anti-gambling forces. As further evidence, Dr. Robert Custer, psychiatrist and media advisor to the National Council on Compulsive Gambling opined the typical compulsive gamblers are "men
who are very competitive, bright, industrious, energetic and hard driving. As adolescents they take on adult chores such as earning money for the family. They look destined for success."
Of further interest is the finding that within fifty miles of a casino there is no measurable increase in bankruptcy, crime, infant mortality or child abuse. Often pointed to is the fact that Memphis is the bankruptcy "Capitol" of the US but never mentioned is that such was so before any casinos were built in Tunica, Mississippi. NORC places the social costs of gambling at $5
billion. This is a number arrived at by unbiased scientific means rather than subjectively plucking a number from an amorphous statistical cloud as it passes overhead. NORC, using the same criteria, places the nationwide social cost of drug abuse at $110 billion, alcohol abuse at $166.5
billion and smoking at $72 billion. When realizing the number of gamblers is much larger than numbers in the other categories, one cannot escape the conclusion that the social costs of gambling do not remotely equate to the expenditures, on a per person or per instance basis, of the
other activities. Worth noting, there are no reported cases of anyone overdosing on gambling, or losing control of a vehicle while gambling or contracting cancer from gambling. Known addictive behaviors manifest as abuse of food, laxatives and nasal spray among others. Data on the social
costs of these activities is not readily available.
Many people are concerned about the effect of gambling on children. Some pundits have stated that children are being addicted to gambling at two to four times the rate of adults. Those who espouse such do not identify the sources for their statement, but clearly all reasonable people should be concerned about any activities injurious to children. Numbers aside, youth gambling is
apparently on the rise and the phenomenon should be analyzed on an objective and scientifically sound basis. Although unacknowledged and probably unknown to most decriers of gambling in the US, a major causal factor is what the British euphemistically call "amusements with prizes." British studies found these games to be the most significant factor in an alarming increase in problem gambling among youth in England.
In Tennessee there are games of this type in arcades in every mall, most large discount stores, many family restaurants, theme parks, fairs and at least two pizza chains that solicit and provide parties for children, some as young as five, who are encouraged to play these types of games. These games are clearly, and I emphasize clearly, illegal under present Tennessee law yet no public outcry is mounted nor do police or prosecutors enforce a clear and obvious violation of a Tennessee felony statue.
There is another form of gambling that is rife with participants who are problem gamblers. The Council on Compulsive Gambling of New Jersey, the mother church of problem gambling, reported that prior to Black Monday's (Oct 9, 1987) plunge in the stock market 2% of their hot line calls were from those who gamble on the financial markets. For several weeks thereafter 44% of all hot line calls were from those who play the game known as the stock
market. The aforementioned Dr. Custer testified at the New Jersey Governor's Advisory Commission that stock market gamblers make up 20% of his practice. The NGISC held meetings on this subject yet this phenomenon is never addressed in the popular press.
There have been reports that upwards of 25% of cocaine users gamble and 40+% of those who carry weapons gamble. To subjectively espouse these numbers as another face of the evils of gambling is a classic skewing of data to support an ill taken point and assault the intelligence of the public by intentionally implying a large number of those who gamble abuse cocaine and carry weapons. In so doing the more plausible inference that some cocaine users and some of those who carry weapons also gamble is ignored. To not appropriately recognize what is the cause and what is the effect is a common tool used by those who seek recognition but will not invest in the effort required to thoroughly understand the issues in which they profess concern. When measured against the obviously small percentage of the population who uses cocaine or carry weapons the intended impact of statements such as the above is a dishonest attempt to support a personal bias rather than support any objective analysis. Those who seek to support their position in such a manner will forever be reduced to using anecdotes and platitudes as the sole support for their positions.
At the end of the day whether to accept decriminalization of gambling and tax and regulate these activities is, and should be, a finding by the legislative branch based on economic and social factors. To base one's opinion of gambling on religion is of course within the purview of every American but to demand public policy enactments to support their position is violative of the Constitution. I have always found interesting those who are quick to point out the Tennessee Constitution's lottery prohibition never point out the same document forbade "ministers of the gospel or priests" being elected to the legislature. One must be sympathetic to those in this position as caring and reasonable people surely empathizes with those who adhere to a faith so uncompelling that the public policy of the state is necessary to force people into their fold. Perhaps they missed James Madison's admonition: "We hold it for a fundamental and undeniable truth that religion or duty we owe our creator and the manner of discharging it can be directed by reason and conviction, not by force."
The time has surely come to recognize public policy cannot be dictated by anecdotal extrapolation and/or subjective moralizing. The truism that you cannot legislate morals is certainly a trite, oft used maxims but like most such pronouncements, speaks volumes (also trite). In 1991 President Bush stated "If we've learned anything in the past quarter century, it is that we cannot federalize morals." This country tried such for thirteen years and fostered an environment whereby policemen were made crooks and crooks were glorified. Organized crime as we know it
is often sited as a threat if gambling is allowed. The undeniable, demonstrable and documented fact is that the criminalization of drinking alcohol "invented" organized crime in this country. Could today's environment in Tennessee be deja vu?
Anyone reading this missive is surely less than a mile from several examples of illegal gambling. Are we to continue enriching the few, perhaps corrupting law enforcement and saddling the Tennessee taxpayer with any social costs? Tennessee's eight contiguous states all
have some form of legal gambling. Whatever costs arise from Tennesseans participation is borne by the Tennessee taxpayer without benefit of any income from the activity. Most of these eight states have a similar ethnic and cultural history to Tennessee's. Are we so arrogant to believe Tennesseans are more pious than citizens of these sister states?
Comments Showing comments in chronological order [Show most recent comments first] |
Near lifelong resident of Bedford County. Will comment on the issues of the day in, hopefully a cogent and certainly an honest manner. Will propose discussions not usually fully addressed in the mainstream media.
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Interesting article. I have a problem though with the stratification of people as "non-gamblers" and then "pathologic/compulsive gamblers" . The study (at least as presented) leaves out the most obvious cohort, the average gambler. It would be interesting to see socioeconomic breakdown of the average gambler especially as it relates to lotteries. From my experience, this effectively is a tax on poorer Americans. Just my .02
Well said Tim....that's the type of person I seem to be standing behind at the mini-marts around town. I can honestly say that I have never seen someone in a business suit buying a scratch-off ticket.
Tim,
Thanks for your comment and your point. I am not aware of any study about "average" gamblers. There have been, however, studies by anti-gambling forces which try to support the notion that lotteries prey on the poor.
These studies held that zip codes known to be heavily peopled by those in the lower socio-economic strata sold more lottery tickets than did zip codes rife with more affluent addresses. There are several fallacies involved in reaching such a conclusion. First, this method can only be applied in large cities. Example, zip 37160 covers all of Shelbyville and parts of Bedford County and therefore the data here would not lend itself to drawing any conclusion based on one demographic.
Also, other studies have shown that people in such areas buy the lottery tickets predominately in the area of their work rather than the area in which they live. For example in Nashville if one worked at a high paying job on Murfreesboro Rd., perhaps at a car dealership on the section close to downtown, they would likely buy a lottery ticket, if they did so, near work where they might buy a drink, snack, fuel or bread to carry home. They could well live in Brentwood, but their lottery purchase would count in the low income residential area of Murfreesboro Rd. These actions would consistently skew the data to support the notion the poor spent more when such is not necessarily the case.
In any event most are going to follow their subjective notion without benefit of any reasonable facts to support their position. I personally think that we as a society who mandate and demand that people at the lower income levels, who spend most of their income on consumer goods, must pay 10% of their income in the form of sales tax and then try to further dictate how they spend any few discretionary dollars they might accumulate are guilty of a paternal arrogance as to how these people must live.
Thanks again for your thoughtful comment, but on this one I will have to respectfully disagree as no intelligent, unbiased observer has determined in any professional way that such is the case.
Tim Baker........I hurriedly wrote the above comment and failed to note another major fallicy which is most lower income zip codes are much more densely populated than most affluent areas. By only measuring and considering gross sales of lottery tickets one does not honestly account for the per capita purchases which could be much less than the more affluent area because of the possible hugh population numbers difference.
cmcclanahan, I wanted to thank you for the above topic, and agree with almost everything you said, until you added another comment. We are apparently on the same page, with the exception of your belief that there is no economic/educational discrepancy among the players of the lottery specifically. I do appreciate your commitment to wanting unbiased documented studies supporting any conclusions, but I have to question your sincerity when you turn away from common sense in the absence of good research.
Risk and return provide the fuel for our capitalist society. The insurance companies, venture capitalists, stock markets individual players and fund groups are all an important part of our economy. All the statistical probabilities are fairly easily calculated and play out every day. There are better bets than others and the lottery is a risk that most who wager and win would avoid. The people that buy most lottery tickets (especially scratch off tickets) are hoping against hope in many cases out of desperation and resignation. When someone plays in a casino, even the slots, while still a losing game, have more of a chance to break even or gain for short periods of time.
I have yet to meet any risk takers except lottery players that consistently lose and continue to play. Could you predict if your mutual fund had the same return how long you or anyone else would keep it? Your fund provider or investor would tell you every year, just be patient and one day soon you will hit it big if you just keep dumping your money in. Statistically, you and I both know that if we had a lifespan of 100,000 or more years, it may be worthwhile.
The scratch off tickets are the worst offenders because they, like the slots, have reinforcement schedules right out of Skinners diary. Those pigeons wear out their beak pecking for the rest of their lives and nothing ever comes out again. I admittedly have no documentation to justify my opinions, but I assure you the different lottery commissions do.
I am not saying that I believe lotteries should be illegal, just that they are exactly what they are, and that your apology does not have to include information that anyone who sees firsthand can dispute.
memyselfi......
Thanks for your comment. I'm afraid your suggestion of "common sense" is in its self a subjective notion as what I think is "common" verses what you think or others think is "common" has no parameters we can agree on so we can start from the same page.
I respect your right to your opinion but I don't think we can force behaviors on 5.3 million Tennesseans nor 330 million Americans based on "common sense" which may in fact not be so common. To arrive at such a notion based on anedotal information whether it be observation of 3 or 300 players is only supportative of a biased position be it gambling in general or behavior vis a vis socio-economic factors and is statistically insignificant when consideration is extrapolated to vastly larger groups.
I readily reckonize not all phenomenea can be easily reduced to unbiased data. But when possible it is much more meaningful than many opinions, no matter how intelligent and honest they may be proffered.
While I hate to argue such an insignificant point stemming from a topic that we appear to agree so much about, I do appreciate the use of "common sense" in the absence of empirical observation. I have yet to see even one study of the different shades of the grasses native to Bedford County, but I imagine most local residents will agree that it is green, at least in in the spring. There are many types of knowledge and the most powerful is that which is gained from experience.
I do wish the data and statistics that I am sure are available to a select few were available to everyone. I can say without hesitation or reservation that the commissions do know their target audience well.
I also am of the opinion that, while statistically insignificant as a whole, taken for what they are, small numbers of people can accurately predict the habits and thoughts of many. I am not the only one who has faith in this phenomenon. Names like Pew, Neilson and Zogby come to mind. I would rather not digress into the biases and representation issues involved as that could be a topic of its very own, but I hope you see my point.
I do think we can collectively force behaviors on everyone based not only on "common sense", but absolutely no sense as well. History clearly demonstrates how possible it is. I think the better question is whether or not we should.
memyselfi.........Again I thank you for your comments. I think the difference in our positions is I hold seeing a few folks exibiting a certain behavior, especially if as you imply are of the same demographic, cannot be assumed to be the norm. The difference in this position and Zogby for instance is the relative few sampled by Zogby are specifically selected by Zogby to represent a cross sections of all the demographic sectors.
As a former participant in research and developement in electronics and optics I am much aware and a big favorite of empirical data. I recognize its importance, necessity really, to the task at hand but also recognize it cannot without vastly more work be published as a threat to accepted theories.
cmcclanahan, Last night as I was tossing and turning trying to get to sleep, I recalled a memory from my childhood. It had long been forgotten, and I am guessing that this topic and another one brought it to bear on my consciousness. I wanted to relate it to you as it has some relevance, but I also wanted to type it out to reinforce the memory so it would not be lost again. It is a little off topic and I hope you do not mind me putting it here. It appears as if no one else is around anyway.
When I was about 10 years old, I spent the days that I didnt go to school (as many as I could) with my grandfather as opposed to staying home unsupervised. He was already an older man and spent much of the morning devoted to the news and commentary on TV and the radio. That morning, there was a lot of commentary regarding farming as it related to corporate farming and governmental subsidies. At lunch, a conversation started about the subjects at hand and I was shocked to realize that we were not in full agreement. I did not understand how this could have happened. We had the same information, presented the same way. It lead to a debate that pretty much came down to this: If Farmer A produces 1000 bushels on 50 acres and Farmer B produces 150 bushels on 10 acres, which is the better farmer? I could not understand why this cantankerous old man would not see things correctly. It was glaringly obvious that the more food produced per acre would reduce prices and supply more hungry people with the food they needed. To see it any differently was undoubtedly advocated wasting resources. After me relentlessly showing him what a fool he was, he patiently asked "What is the cost to produce each bushel". He knew very well I didnt have that information. I went to get an encyclopedia. As I was intently looking for something I could use to prove my un-losable debate, he added "What was the original cost of the land that was used? Did the small farmer use a hoe and shovel and the larger farmer use a tractor?" At that point I got a little flustered. I knew I did not have that information as well and doubted I could get it, but I stood firm and replied "That can be found out and we can see once and for all who is right." He nodded and replied that we would also need to know the specifics about how the land was farmed. If Farmer A and Farmer B were both practicing good soil conservation, and also if both were in the same area to ensure equal weather. I told him I would find out somehow and I thought surely and hopefully that this would postpone the debate until I had an opportunity to compose myself and find some ammunition to use against his questions. He did not see it that way. I know now, that for most of the conversation I was being baited and he finally took the opportunity to deliver his fatal strike before I could get away. He took a deep puff from his pipe, looked at me and smiled with the single crooked tooth in his mouth, then proceeded to blow his smoke into my face, making my eyes burn more than they already were, and said "While you are studying all that, see if you can find the numbers that let us know how it tastes too." I didnt realize it then, but the discussion would never come up again. I guess he may have known, but I didnt. I lost focus and the entire morning slipped out of memory. I also didn't realize at the time that there was no argument left to be made. He won decisively and I was just too stubborn to see it.
It is easy to forget about how something "tastes", even when the taste is the most important quality it has. When we are analyzing statistics, we should not lose focus on their relevance or lack of it at times. Again, I am sorry to have posted the memory here and I hope you are not too offended by me doing it.
Here's another gamble
It looks like McCain may have made a mistake. He only talked with her one time and that was last week about being VP. There appears to be several major issues. I'm not a Rep. But he am shocked about a rash decision. He was close in the polls.
One example, is that on Kieth Ober;and's show, he mentioned that she has an infant. I have not verified this. The baby has some severe problems.
Now the talking heads are starting to talk about McCain's 2 serious runs with cancer. The last one needed a 5 hr operation. He really had some really, good other folks.