Four more die of COVID-19

Saturday, November 21, 2020
The number of newly confirmed cases in Bedford County in seven day intervals from Oct. 8 through Nov. 18.
T-G Graph by Terence Corrigan

The spread of COVID-19 in Bedford County is progressing much faster than in Tennessee as a whole.

In just seven days, Bedford County reported 257 newly confirmed cases, more new cases in a week than during entire month of September, when there were 246 newly confirmed cases in 30 days.

On Wednesday this week (Nov. 18) the state reported that four more residents of Bedford County died from the coronavirus, bringing the total to 28 since the pandemic arrived.

The graph shows the daily averages of cases in Bedford County in seven day periods from Oct. 8 through Nov. 18.
T-G Graph by Terence Corrigan

In the most recent 14 days (Nov. 5 through Nov. 18) the state health department reports that there were 454 new cases found in testing in Bedford County. Thatís a 42 percent increase from the prior 14 days when there were 319 new cases.

Increases in testing cannot alone account for the rising case numbers. In the most recent 14 days there were 2,149 tests conducted in Bedford County. In the preceding 14 days there were 1,882 tests conducted. Thatís an increase of just over 14 percent as compared with the 42 percent rise in the number of new cases.

The positivity rate (the percentage of tests that are positive) in testing done statewide in 14 days (Nov. 5 through Nov. 18) is 12.88 precent; far above the 5 percent that public health officials say is the maximum necessary to be able to determine the current level of transmission. Bedford County, over the last 14 days has a positivity rate of 21 percent. The national average is 10 percent.

The number of people hospitalized daily, shown in seven day periods from Oct. 8 through Nov. 18.
T-G Graph by Terence Corrigan

According to Johns Hopkins: ďA high percent positive means that more testing should probably be doneóand it suggests that it is not a good time to relax restrictions aimed at reducing coronavirus transmission. Because a high percentage of positive tests suggests high coronavirus infection rates (due to high transmission in the community), a high percent positive can indicate it may be a good time to add restrictions to slow the spread of†disease.Ē

Bedford County averaged 311 active cases per day over the last seven days, up 44 percent from the prior seven day average of 216. On Thursday, the number of active cases was down to 309.

On Tuesday this week (N0v. 17) Bedford County School District reported that a dozen students newly tested positive this week and 482 were in quarantine and 32 students were in active case status. The district reported that 39 faculty and staff members were in quarantine, 10 staff and faculty were in active case status and there were three new cases this week. The active case faculty and staff were throughout the district: One each at Learning Way, Central High School, Liberty Elementary School and Cascade High School. Schools with two case each were Bedford County Learning Academy, Eastside and Southside elementary schools.

In the last 20 days (Oct. 30 through Nov. 18) 88 school age children in Bedford County have tested positive for the coronavirus. The stateís reporting on school age children includes all children ages 5 through 18, with no indication whether or not they attend public school.

State

Statewide over the last seven days, on average, 64 people were admitted to a hospital every day for treatment of the coronavirus. Thatís up 14 percent from the previous seven days when on average 56 people were being hospitalized every day.

In the last 14 days, 570 Tennesseans have died from COVID-19, up 12 percent from the 508 people who died from the virus in the previous 14 days.

In the last 14 days, the Tennessee Health Department reported that there were 55,399 new cases of COVID-19 reported. Thatís up 73.5 percent from the previous 14 days when there were 31,919 new cases statewide.